Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Lucas Bouquet Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Bouquet's second serve has been slightly more effective recently, with a 42.63% win rate compared to Bailly's 40.1%. Does this slight edge give Bouquet an advantage? It suggests a potential edge in maintaining service games.
• In return games, Bouquet has been superior, winning 50.7% of points on their opponent's second serve, compared to Bailly's 43.83%. This difference may indicate who is more adept at breaking serves.
• Their first serve return stats are also close, with Bouquet at 29.92% and Bailly at 27.93%. Which player is better at combining this with other skills to secure a win? Bouquet appears marginally better at seizing these opportunities.
• When under pressure, Bouquet saves more breakpoints (53.09%) than Bailly (46.28%). Could this be crucial in tight match situations?
• Over the past year, Bailly has a better overall match win rate of 65.22% compared to Bouquet's 54.84%, suggesting Bailly has been in better form overall.
• When considering their favorite surfaces, Bailly excels on hard courts with a 69% win rate, while Bouquet prefers clay with a 59% win rate.
• In their competitive environment, Bailly has played against slightly higher-ranked opponents on average (rank 379.59 vs. Bouquet's 437.27), potentially giving Bailly more experience at higher competition levels.
• In deciding sets, Bouquet is more successful, winning 71% compared to Bailly's 54%, which may be crucial if the match goes the distance.
• For breakpoint conversion, Bailly is slightly more effective, converting 37.3% compared to Bouquet's 36.9%. This might not heavily tilt the scale but contributes to Bailly's advantage.

Editorial Prediction (July 18, 2025, UTC):

In the upcoming match, several statistics suggest a promising contest between Bouquet and Bailly. Bouquet's superior performance in second-serve returns and clutch scenarios under pressure may play a significant role.

Conversely, Bailly's higher overall win rate over the past year and experience against tougher competition could provide the resilience needed in pivotal moments. Additionally, Bailly's stronger performance on hard courts aligns well with potential surface advantages, depending on the venue.

While both players show strengths in different areas, the key may lie in Bailly's overall winning mentality established from consistent performance at higher levels. Accordingly, Bailly edges out slightly as the more likely winner of this clash, though it's expected to be closely contested.